"Inside Scoop" Comments From All Girls Allowed Director, Brian Lee:
"This week there has been a lot of press about Guandong province and its request to ease the One-Child Policy. While we would like to celebrate and report that this is true progress, All Girls Allowed feels that this report is primarily ‘old news’. Guandong is asking only for a 2-child policy for parents who are only children and have daughters. This is already being implemented through much of China.
Sometimes articles like this make it to the spotlight so that people will being to believe all is well in China. We hope that China does end its policy countrywide, but we will not hold our breath about these reports."
Chinese Province Looks to Ease 'One-Child Policy'
"The province ... is now waiting for approval to be the leader in the country in the relaxation of the family-planning policy," said Zhang Feng, director of the Guangdong population and family-planning commission.
After decades of rapid economic growth in the world's most populous nation, many of China's newly affluent are putting pressure on officials to ease away from restrictions that have been in place since the early 1980s. The Guangdong case could set a pattern for other regions.
Even as the one-child policy has created a host of new problems, including uneven and coercive enforcement measures as well as a severe gender imbalance to name a few, China's huge population of 1.34 billion still exerts severe strains on the country's resources and the environment.
But proponents of a change have new economic arguments to support their case.
China's most recent census released in April showed the proportion of young Chinese is shrinking as the elderly population grows, a fact many demographers have warned could choke the world's fastest-growing major economy as fewer people are left to work and pay for a greying population.
The latest national population figure, based on the 2010 census, was up 5.9 per cent from the 1.27 billion counted in 2000, but lower than the 1.4 billion population some demographers had projected for the latest tally.
Guangdong's birth rate had remained low for more than 10 years, Zhang said, with women there giving birth to 1.7 children on average over the past decade.
Nationwide, government controls on family size have brought down annual population growth to below 1 per cent and the rate is projected to start falling in coming years, raising worrying questions about a greying population.
While the central government enforces the one-child policy unevenly – couples in many urban areas who are themselves single children are permitted two of their own – policy-makers have shown little intention of abandoning it.
"I don't know whether the central government will give the green light to Guangdong or not, or when Guangdong's application will be approved, but the province now has room to relax the one-child policy, which has been in place for more than three decades," Zhang said.
China's National Population and Family Planning Commission could not be reached for comment.
Zhang said easing the policy would not lead to a baby boom because the cost of giving birth and raising children had risen steeply. Annual inflation in China hit a three-year high of 6.4 per cent in June
At the same time, while China is now the second-largest economy in the world, it ranks far lower on a per-capita basis, and allowing the population to rise would only further strain employment demands and other challenges for the government.
